Participation & Rotation

Participation & Rotation

This shows whether the market move is broad and healthy, or narrow and fragile beneath the surface.

Window

Internal participation is mixed and fading.

What matters now

When participation is mixed, the headline move is less trustworthy.

What changed vs prior window
Biggest drag
Small-cap confirmation-25.2

Small-cap confirmation weakened the internal read by 25.2 pts versus the prior window.

Second drag
Equal-weight breadth-4.0

Equal-weight breadth weakened the internal read by 4.0 pts versus the prior window.

Main support
Regional confirmation+8.8

Regional confirmation improved the internal read by 8.8 pts versus the prior window.

Three simple checks
How broad the move isBreadth
-13.5
31.5

Narrow and fragile

Leadership is narrowing back into large caps

Weakened vs prior period
Mar 30Aug 27
Who is leadingRotation
+3.9
95.4

Risk-sensitive leaders still lead

Cyclicals still lead the tape

Improved vs prior period
Mar 30Aug 27
Are other markets backing it?Confirmation
+6.8
55.5

Backing is only partial

Confirmation remains patchy

Improved vs prior period
Mar 30Aug 27
Under the surface
Equal-weight breadth

Leadership is narrowing back into mega caps

Meaning: Tracks whether performance is widening beyond the cap-weighted index.

Move health score29.4
Technical detail
Based on: RSP / SPY21d ratio -2.53%5d ratio -0.21%
Low 0.272High 0.298Current 0.288
Small-cap confirmation

Risk appetite is still avoiding small caps

Meaning: Tests whether smaller equities are confirming broader risk appetite.

Move health score34.2
Technical detail
Based on: IWM / SPY21d ratio -1.85%5d ratio -0.52%
Low 0.372High 0.411Current 0.388
Cyclical vs defensive

Cyclicals are still in front

Meaning: Measures whether cyclical sectors still lead the defensive complex.

Move health score95.4
Technical detail
Based on: XLY / XLP · XLI / XLU21d ratio +5.56%5d ratio +0.48%
Low 2.360High 2.844Current 2.750
Credit confirmation

Credit support is mixed

Meaning: Checks whether lower-quality credit still backs the move.

Move health score53.3
Technical detail
Based on: HYG / LQD21d ratio +0.45%5d ratio -0.16%
Low 0.718High 0.753Current 0.749
Regional confirmation

Global confirmation remains patchy

Meaning: Tests whether international equities are confirming US leadership.

Move health score57.8
Technical detail
Based on: EFA / SPY · EEM / SPY21d ratio +1.02%5d ratio -0.18%
Low 0.112High 0.122Current 0.114
Data qualityLive rebuild · Aug 27 14:24 UTC
UpdatedAug 27 14:24 UTC
SourceLive rebuild
Staleness0s
Coverage100% · 5/5
Positive / neutral / negative1 / 2 / 2
ConfidenceHigh confidence

Source health: Yahoo: 11 ok